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The Receipts

Every take on this board is an exact quote with its date and a link to the original clip or transcript. Hot takes are open and unresolved. Accurate and bad takes are graded only after the result is settled — and only when the quote, date, and receipt are all in hand. No receipt, no verdict.

Hot takes

24
Chris Solomon · No Laying Up (Ep. 1213)
“Min Woo Lee, I just don't think he's good at golf.”

What happened: Said on the Day 1 live show after Lee and Sungjae Im lost 1-up to Scottie Scheffler and Sam Burns on Thursday. Tron Carter agreed on the same episode: “I don't think he's a proper player” (~00:31:41) and “he's got all the shots until it's time to hit him. And then he like just kind of disappears” (~00:32:21). Friday: Lee and Ryan Fox beat Collin Morikawa and Wyndham Clark 1-up in foursomes, 6-under with no bogeys — early evidence against the take. Lee is 1–1 for the week.

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Paul McGinley · Golf Channel (Live From The Presidents Cup)
“America is going to win because they're so good and Scottie Scheffler is so good that he's going to have a good Presidents Cup here, and the opposition is not that strong.”

What happened: Said on Golf Channel's Live From The Presidents Cup on Day 1. Trending wrong: the Internationals swept Friday foursomes 5–0 and lead 7–3; Scheffler is 1–1 for the week. Caveat: the U.S. were heavy favorites, so the spicy part is the dismissiveness — “the opposition is not that strong” — not the pick itself.

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Andy Roberts · GolfMagic
“I'm predicting the USA to win the Presidents Cup by six points, with an 18-12 victory available at 12/1.”

What happened: Published September 23 in GolfMagic's Presidents Cup betting tips, arguing “across 30 matches, I expect the depth of the American side to once again prove decisive, especially on home soil.” Alive but unlikely: the U.S. sits on 3 points and needs 15 of the remaining 20 to reach 18.

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Paul McGinley · Golf Channel (Live From The Presidents Cup)
“The best player in the world, but not the best team player. His team play record is very average, Brandel”

What happened: Said on Live From the Presidents Cup after Thursday's session, adding he is 'not intimidated playing Scottie in match-play' because 'he hasn't proved himself yet in team events.' Holding up: Scheffler is 1–8 in career Presidents Cup foursomes and went 1–1 through two days.

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Blake Schuster · Golfweek
“If the Americans don't take care of business early, they will feel the pressure the rest of the way.”

What happened: The only Golfweek staffer (of seven) to pick the Internationals (+550): 'the vibes have been so off for U.S. teams in these competitions lately that I'm willing to take a chance on a clear underdog.' Quote verified verbatim on the page.

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Rory McIlroy · via GolfMagic
“All we need now is the Internationals to do it in a couple of weeks. That would be great.”

What happened: Said at Wentworth, after Europe's Solheim Cup and the Walker Cup wins. The Internationals lead 7–3 with their largest-ever lead through two sessions.

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Dustin Saracini · Covers
“I'm seeing some value with Si Woo Kim. He's absolutely the best international player and was first on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green this year.”

What happened: Pick: Si Woo Kim, top International scorer. Kim won Thursday and Friday — 2 points, pacing the Internationals with three sessions left.

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Frankie Borrelli · Fore Play (Barstool)
“Frankie eight.”

What happened: Fore Play's 'closest to the pin' prop: International points going into Sunday singles (~01:41:29). Frankie's 8 is the only call still alive — it needs the Internationals to earn exactly 1 point across Saturday's 8 matches.

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Rex Hoggard · Golf Channel
“On paper this shouldn't even be that close but the International side can count on solid weeks from Ryan Fox, Si Woo Kim and veteran Adam Scott, who at 46 is likely playing his final Presidents Cup. But the American depth is too much to overcome.”

What happened: Punch Shot panel prediction: U.S. 17½–12½. Alive — the U.S. needs 14.5 of the remaining 20 — but the 'shouldn't even be that close' framing is already contradicted at 7–3.

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Andrew Gitto · Sporting News
“Sure, the Internationals have had some success in PGA Tour play this season, but the stardom the U.S. possesses is too great to ignore. While the Presidents Cup will be far from as rowdy as the Ryder Cup was, American fans will be pushing their golfers along to hoist the trophy. Sportsbooks have cooled off on the United States' favored line, and the team's odds as an underdog is all-time great value.”

What happened: Sporting News betting columnist Andrew Gitto's Round 3 preview, published the evening of September 25, 2026, after the International Team's 5-0 Friday foursomes sweep put the U.S. down 7-3 at Medinah.

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Andrew Gitto · Sporting News
“If not now, then when? The U.S. team needs to lock in, put their heads down, and play the best golf of their lives. After possessing a 3-2 lead after Day 1, the Americans failed to win a single foursome match on Friday, and Saturday's slate at Medinah will start with them playing from a 7-3 deficit. The first part of Day 3 will feature the four-ball format that Team USA prospered in on the first day. They'll have to pick up the loose ends when it comes to the foursome play later that same day. They should still garner enough points to walk away as Saturday's winner.”

What happened: Same Sporting News Round 3 preview; Gitto's best bet was Team USA as Saturday's outright session winner (-165 on BetMGM).

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Andrew Gitto · Sporting News
“The Kim duo has dominated play during the first two days of the Presidents Cup. After they walloped Chris Gotterup and Patrick Cantlay 3 and 2 after Thursday's four-ball session, they made matters worse by decimating Cantlay and Xander Schauffele 4 and 3 during Friday's foursomes. Clark and Morikawa were one of the three U.S. duos to win the majority of holes during Thursday's four-ball, but Kim and Kim have just been too dominant to ignore.”

What happened: Same Sporting News preview; Gitto picked Si Woo Kim and Tom Kim over Wyndham Clark and Collin Morikawa in the Saturday morning four-ball match (+105 on DraftKings).

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Will Gray · PGA Tour (Draws and Fades / Golfbet)
“So is this an opportunity to buy low on the home team to lift the trophy? I tend to side with Snedeker's frequently-issued precept that the competition is not even halfway over yet, with 20 points still up for grabs. It's hard to envision a day going worse for the Americans than what we saw on Friday, and my expectation is that the U.S. Team turns the tide in their favor over the eight total matches being played on Saturday. They'll certainly be the betting favorite in a vast majority of the 12 Singles matches come Sunday. The Internationals have impressed through two days, but from a betting perspective this feels like an opportunity to back the Americans at a steep discount. Take the U.S. to win the Presidents Cup (+126).”

What happened: PGA Tour's 'Draws and Fades' betting column previewing Saturday's sessions, published September 25, 2026, after the International Team's 5-0 Friday foursomes sweep at Medinah.

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Will Gray · PGA Tour (Draws and Fades / Golfbet)
“This is an incredible dichotomy, as Thomas largely carried Koivun on Thursday but was one of the worst players on course on Friday. Im has been impressive through two matches, and this feels like a real opportunity for the Internationals to build upon their momentum.”

What happened: Same 'Draws and Fades' column; Gray's analysis of the Saturday morning four-ball matchup between Min Woo Lee/Sungjae Im and Justin Thomas/Jackson Koivun, with the pick line 'Pick: Lee/Im +106'.

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Will Gray · PGA Tour (Draws and Fades / Golfbet)
“Pick: Clark/Morikawa (-135)”

What happened: Golfbet 'Draws and Fades' column's Saturday four-ball pick for Wyndham Clark and Collin Morikawa vs. Si Woo Kim and Tom Kim, published September 25, 2026; the match was played Saturday morning, September 26, at Medinah.

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Will Gray · PGA Tour (Draws and Fades / Golfbet)
“Pick: Gotterup/Young (-235)”

What happened: Same column's Saturday four-ball pick for Chris Gotterup and Cameron Young vs. Nick Taylor and Corey Conners, published September 25, 2026; the match was played Saturday morning, September 26, at Medinah.

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Will Gray · PGA Tour (Draws and Fades / Golfbet)
“Pick: Scheffler/Burns (-250)”

What happened: Same column's Saturday four-ball pick for Scottie Scheffler and Sam Burns vs. Hideki Matsuyama and Ryo Hisatsune, published September 25, 2026; the match was played Saturday morning, September 26, at Medinah.

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Mark Giannotto · Golfweek
“Through two days, Schauffele and Cantlay rank near the bottom of the U.S. team in strokes gained despite entering the week as two of its most trusted team-competition players. If that continues into the weekend, the Americans will be vulnerable to an upset.”

What happened: Golfweek column grading Day 2's winners and losers, published September 25, 2026, after the International Team's 5-0 Friday foursomes sweep at Medinah.

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Mark Giannotto · Golfweek
“A U.S. victory is expected in this event. An American loss would be among the most surprising results in Presidents Cup history, making Saturday's lineup decisions critical as the Internationals carry momentum into the weekend.”

What happened: Same Golfweek column, on the pressure facing the U.S. and captain Brandt Snedeker entering Saturday.

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Josh Sens · GOLF.com
“Smart money says the U.S. will close the gap Saturday and then pull away in singles, their historical strength.”

What happened: GOLF.com column published September 25, 2026, after the International Team's 5-0 Friday foursomes sweep at Medinah.

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Ben Coley · Sporting Life
“Like the market, I give the narrowest of edges to the USA in this format, but I don't know as anyone should be in a rush to oppose these two Koreans, who are going to be vital as the Internationals seek to end their losing run. Verdict: USA 1up”

What happened: Sporting Life Saturday four-ball preview, published September 26, 2026, before the morning matches at Medinah.

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Keith Stewart · Read The Line (via Golf Digest)
“Day 3 Foursomes Winner, U.S. (+105, FanDuel) — The final format of the team matches is Saturday afternoon at Medinah. The crowds should be electric, maximizing the home course advantage. Take the United States' best format against the Internationals and the plus odds.”

What happened: Golf Digest Presidents Cup betting preview (Read The Line), published September 23, 2026; Stewart picked the U.S. to win Saturday afternoon's foursomes session.

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Chris Solomon (Soly) · No Laying Up
“I still think the U.S. is going to win. I don't think it's going to be a runaway. I don't think it's going to be a blowout.”

What happened: No Laying Up episode 1214, a live show recorded after the International Team's 5-0 Friday foursomes sweep put the U.S. down 7-3 at Medinah; Soly reaffirmed his pre-event U.S. pick during an on-record round of winner picks.

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Tron Carter (TC) · No Laying Up
“I think the internationals are going to win this. I think they're going to do it.”

What happened: Same No Laying Up live show (episode 1214), later in the episode; TC gave his winner pick during the show's on-record round of picks.

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Bad takes

23
Marisa Marcellino · Golf Channel
“The Americans are feeding off that home turf Chi-town energy this week and will score to match His Airness.”

What happened: Punch Shot prediction: U.S. 23–7. Mathematically dead — the Internationals already have 7 points; it requires the USA to win every remaining match.

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Kiz (Kevin Kisner) · Fore Play (Barstool)
“Kiz says six and a half.”

What happened: Prop: International points going into Sunday singles (~01:41:29). The Internationals reached 7 before Saturday's 8 matches were played — already impossible.

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Riggs (Sam Riggs Bozoian) · Fore Play (Barstool)
“Riggs also six and a half.”

What happened: Prop: International points going into Sunday singles (~01:41:29). The Internationals reached 7 before Saturday's matches — already impossible.

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Trent · Fore Play (Barstool)
“Trent seven.”

What happened: Prop: International points going into Sunday singles (~01:41:29). Requires the Internationals to be shut out across all 8 Saturday matches — functionally dead.

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David Gordon · ESPN Research (via Golf Digest)
“I think the biggest drama on Sunday will be whether the United States can break the all-time margin of victory (11 points in the 32-point format back in 2000), and whether they can get to 20 points for the first time in what is now the seventh President Cup in the 30-point format.”

What happened: ESPN Research's correct-score pick: U.S. 19.5–INT 10.5. The margin-of-victory discussion is inverted with the Internationals leading 7–3.

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Adam Schupak · Golfweek
“It's been Harlem Globetrotters against the Washington Generals, one of the most predictable results in sports and I don't see any reason why that will change this time at Medinah.”

What happened: Picked USA (-600). A 7–3 International lead with a historic 5–0 foursomes sweep is the opposite of Globetrotters-vs.-Generals. Quote verified verbatim on the page.

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Tim Schmitt · Golfweek
“Our Eamon Lynch said this week that the worst thing for the Presidents Cup would be an International upset of the Americans. Good news, Eamon. That won't happen.”

What happened: Picked USA (-600). The International upset he dismissed is now the live scenario at 7–3. Quote verified verbatim on the page.

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Nick Stavas · Golfweek
“I really wanted to be a contrarian and ride with the Internationals, but I just can't bring myself to do it.”

What happened: Picked USA (-600). He talked himself out of the right pick — the Internationals lead 7–3. Quote verified verbatim on the page.

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Cameron Jourdan · Golfweek
“The Presidents Cup could really use a good competition, but the chances of that happening are low. The Americans are the much-better team, and even with a lot of the team coming in having not played since the Tour Championship or before, it's hard to see a scenario where the Internationals pull off the upset.”

What happened: Picked USA (-600). The scenario he couldn't see is now the most plausible outcome at 7–3. Quote verified verbatim on the page.

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Paul McGinley · Golf Channel (Live From The Presidents Cup)
“I think (Scottie) Scheffler and (Sam) Burns should be too strong for (Corey) Conners and (Nick) Taylor, they're going to need a Houdini act if they're going to get anything out of that.”

What happened: Day 2 foursomes preview on Live From: also called Thomas/Young 'too strong' for Scott/Bezuidenhout and predicted a 3–2 session to tie it up. Both named U.S. wins lost; Friday went 0–5 to the Internationals.

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Brandel Chamblee · Golf Channel (Live From The Presidents Cup)
“not like climbing Mt Everest, it's more like Mt Olympus on Mars”

What happened: Said on Live From the Presidents Cup about the challenge facing Ogilvy's Internationals (quote confirmed on the opened page). The 'near-impossible mountain' is looking climbable at 7–3.

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Brandel Chamblee · Golf Channel (Live From The Presidents Cup)
“The big difference between the International side and the US side, a massive difference, has been the foursomes”

What happened: Said on Live From after Day 1, framing foursomes as the U.S. edge. The Internationals swept Friday foursomes 5–0 — the 'massive difference' now runs the other way. Note: quote verbatim from indexed article text; the page returned 404 on direct U.S. fetch (likely geo-block).

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Keith Stewart · Read The Line (via Golf Digest)
“I'm going with the day where they play five matches in alternate shot and taking the Americans.”

What happened: Golf Digest expert pick: the U.S. to win Day 2 (Friday foursomes). Decisively dead — the Internationals swept 5–0.

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Jake Zach · Action Network
“Wyndham Clark played exceptional golf in Thursday's four-ball. He's a stone-cold killer, and you can tell he cares more than anybody. He's been by far the best player on the team so far, and I don't see how Fox and Lee compete with him in this matchup.”

What happened: Picked Clark/Morikawa over Fox/Lee on Friday. Fox and Lee beat them 1-up in the sweep.

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Jake Zach · Action Network
“I just have a hard time seeing Conners and Taylor earning a point in this one.”

What happened: Picked all four Friday matches for the USA: Scheffler/Burns, Henley/Bridgeman, Clark/Morikawa, Young/Thomas. All four lost in the 5–0 sweep.

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Tony Sartori · Action Network
“With Friday switching to foursomes (alternate shot), pressure rises on each individual member and one guy can't carry his playing partner as he could on Thursday.”

What happened: Pick: USA Day 2 winner (-165). His core foursomes logic inverted completely — the Internationals swept 5–0.

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Christopher Powers · Golf Digest
“The American side has covered this margin on home soil five straight times. They will make it six in a row this week.”

What happened: Golf Digest pick: U.S. -2.5 outright spread. The streak is in serious jeopardy at 7–3.

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Cameron DaSilva · Sportsbook Wire
“So long as the U.S. Team doesn't come out the way it did in last year's Ryder Cup, it won't be close come Sunday.”

What happened: It is very much close: the Internationals lead 7–3 after two sessions.

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Michael Leboff · New York Post
“it seems unlikely to expect the International Team to get off the schneid this weekend in Illinois.”

What happened: The schneid-breaking is live: the Internationals lead 7–3.

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Derek Clements · Golfshake
“I cannot see any way that Geoff Ogilvy's team are going to change the outcome this time around. He is surely leading his team to the slaughter.”

What happened: Prediction: USA 18, Internationals 12. The 'slaughter' is going the other way so far at 7–3.

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Smylie Kaufman · The Smylie Show
“To me, Sam Burns, Scottie, and Wyndham Clark, those are your horses, and Cam Young. If Cam Young's putting is back, those are your four guys that you play in every single session.”

What happened: Named his four every-session U.S. horses. The anointed core underdelivered: the USA were swept 5–0 in Friday foursomes and trail 7–3.

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Smylie Kaufman · The Smylie Show
“when you look at the back half of the lineup for the International team, those six to 12 guys, they have to step up in such a big way to be able to do away with the advantages that they have from a depth standpoint for the United States.”

What happened: Framed the International back six as needing a near-miracle to overcome U.S. depth. They delivered exactly that in the 5–0 Friday sweep; the Internationals lead 7–3.

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Neil Parker · Covers
“He's a perfect stylistic and statistical fit to lead the tournament in points.”

What happened: Pick: Xander Schauffele, top overall scorer. Schauffele sat at 0 points after two sessions, including Friday's 4&3 loss with Cantlay — near-dead.

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Accurate takes

4
Christopher Powers · Golf Digest
“Maybe the only true 'lock' of the entire golf season. The U.S. has won the first session in eight of the last nine Presidents Cups.”

What happened: Golf Digest senior writer's expert pick: the U.S. to win Day 1 (Thursday four-ball). The U.S. took the opening session 3–2.

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Jake Zach · Action Network
“There's something about these Kims, man. They just care so much more, and you can feel their chemistry. With Cantlay's continued putting woes and Xander's poor play, I'm confident the Kims will earn their second point in this year's Presidents Cup.”

What happened: Picked Tom Kim and Si Woo Kim over Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele in Friday foursomes. The Kims won 4&3.

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Tony Sartori · Action Network
“Thursday Leader Pick: USA (-152 at DraftKings | Play to -165)”

What happened: His pre-tournament Day 1 call hit — the U.S. took Thursday 3–2. (His Day 2 pick of the U.S. in foursomes is graded separately, and went very badly.)

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Neil Parker · Covers
“Team USA has won nine of the 10 opening-day matches in the past two Presidents Cups, and having five matches means the Internationals' lack of depth will be on full display with 10 of their 12 players hitting Medinah on Thursday.”

What happened: Picked Team USA to win Day 1. The U.S. won Thursday four-ball 3–2.

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